Dr.PulmRoch said:Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look.
This is where I part company with the consensus forming above. This treats a plausible mechanism as a demonstrated one. Plausible is where you start looking, not where you stop.
If somebody has the primary source to hand I would rather cite it than paraphrase it.
Dr.PulmRoch said:Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look.
That is right for the common case. Whether it is right for the case being asked about depends on a detail that has not been given.
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Browse GL BiochemDr.PulmRoch said:Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look.
Genuinely useful, thank you. I had the facts and not the framework. Adding it to my notes with a link back to this thread.
Closing the loop on my own question.
Closing this out. What actually changed my mind was the point about waiting for a trend instead of reading a single measurement, which is embarrassing in hindsight and worth saying anyway.