Pancreatitis risk assessment — need advice

DataDave said:

For anyone reading later: the numbers in this thread are worth checking against a primary source before you act on them, including mine.

Thank you for spelling out the reasoning rather than just the conclusion. Adding it to my notes with a link back to this thread.

Clinical perspective, offered as context rather than as advice. Take it one variable at a time. Almost every unanswerable question in these threads is unanswerable because three things changed in the same fortnight, and no amount of subsequent argument can untangle them after the fact.

That is the short version; the long version is somebody else's post.

MASHdoc_SA said:

Almost every unanswerable question in these threads is unanswerable because three things changed in the same fortnight, and no amount of subsequent…

This is my experience too, for whatever a second data point is worth. The detail I would add is minor and it is already implied above.

MASHdoc_SA said:

Almost every unanswerable question in these threads is unanswerable because three things changed in the same fortnight, and no amount of subsequent…

There is a second half to this that has not been said yet. Worth answering the question that was asked rather than the one behind it. The narrow version usually has an answer; the broad version usually does not, and answering the broad one is how a thread stops being useful.

The figures, for anyone assembling their own picture. Give anything pharmacological four weeks before you judge it, and give anything measured weekly a four-point rolling average before you call it a trend.