From the other side of the consultation, briefly. It is worth asking what the claim would look like if it were false. If nothing would look different, it is not a claim about the world and no amount of discussion will settle it.
PharmacoVig_BOS said:It is worth asking what the claim would look like if it were false.
This is my experience too, for whatever a second data point is worth.
PharmacoVig_BOS said:It is worth asking what the claim would look like if it were false.
There is a second half to this that has not been said yet. The version of this that has an answer is narrower than the version being asked. Narrow it and it becomes tractable; leave it broad and the thread will produce nine confident and incompatible replies.
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A narrower follow-up, since the general answer is now clear:
How would you tell the difference between that and the alternative explanation?