Collecting this in one place because it comes up every few weeks and the answer is always assembled from scratch. It is about semaglutide, and it is deliberately narrow — everything I am not confident about is marked as such.
What is actually established
The mechanism that matters here is not stomach emptying, it is central. GLP-1 receptor agonism in the arcuate nucleus stimulates POMC neurons and suppresses AgRP/NPY signalling, which is why the effect is appetite and food salience rather than physical fullness. Delayed gastric emptying largely tachyphylaxes over the first months; the appetite effect does not.
The condition it depends on
One condition: that curve is for people who reached the dose on schedule. Anyone who slowed the ladder for tolerability is on a different, flatter curve, and comparing yourself with the published mean will make you feel like a non-responder when you are not.
The practical version
For anyone assembling their own picture: Tmax is one to three days, terminal half-life about 165 to 170 hours, steady state at four to five weeks, and subcutaneous bioavailability near 89%. Those four numbers explain most of the questions people ask about timing.
What I am not sure about
What I am trying to establish is how much of the between-person variation is pharmacokinetic and how much is just adherence measured badly. I have searched first, so if this is covered somewhere point me at it and I will read it.
— adam_van · corrections welcome and will be edited into this post with credit