From the other side of the consultation, briefly. The useful move here is to separate what is established from what is widely repeated. Those two sets overlap less than the confident tone of most write-ups suggests, and the second set is where nearly all the disagreement on this board comes from.
One thing that is still open after JennaRN’s answer:
How would you tell the difference between that and the alternative explanation?
paige_pharma said:The useful move here is to separate what is established from what is widely repeated.
This is where I part company with the consensus forming above. The objection nobody has made: this only works if the measurement is doing what we assume it is doing, and that assumption has not been tested here.
Correct me if the detail matters more than I have assumed.
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Shop Reference Standardspaige_pharma said:The useful move here is to separate what is established from what is widely repeated.
Agreed on the substance. I would put less weight on the timescale, because two months of anything is not enough to distinguish a trend from a wobble.