Swiss Chems pricing is INSANE — what worked for you?

paige_pharma said:

Worth answering the question that was asked rather than the one behind it.

Coming at paige_pharma’s question from a different direction. It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any. If nothing would, the discussion is not about evidence, and it is better to say so early than to spend nine posts discovering it.

If somebody has the primary source to hand I would rather cite it than paraphrase it.

Adding the numbers, since they settle part of this. Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look. It is a small discipline and it changes what you notice.

One thing that is still open after paige_pharma’s answer:

What did you change at the same time, and can you separate the two now?

TirzTom said:

Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look.

Careful with the causal language. Two things moving together in a period when five things changed is not a mechanism, and stating it as one makes the thread less useful to somebody reading it later.

TirzTom said:

Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look.

That holds where the measurement is reliable. Where it is noisy — and a lot of what gets tracked here is noisy — the same reasoning produces confident nonsense.

If somebody has the primary source to hand I would rather cite it than paraphrase it.