Dr.PeteFamMed said:The mechanism and the magnitude are separate questions.
Agreed, and the size of the effect matters as much as its existence. Something real and small gets treated here as though it were real and decisive.
emily_PDX said:The part it does not cover is what to do when the honest answer is "not enough data", which is more often than anyone likes.
Genuinely useful, thank you. I had the facts and not the framework. Printing the relevant bit and taking it with me.
Dr.PeteFamMed said:The mechanism and the magnitude are separate questions.
Filing a mild objection. Mild because I might be wrong; an objection because nobody has addressed the case that does not fit. Pushing back on the consensus forming here. Consistency is not the same as correctness, and a board that agrees with itself quickly is usually agreeing with the first person who sounded certain.
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View ResultsThe figures, for anyone assembling their own picture. Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look. It is a small discipline and it changes what you notice.
Moderator note: leaving this open. It is being argued well and the disagreement is the useful part. Report rather than reply if it drifts again.