TrialNerd_Beth said:There is a difference between no evidence and evidence of no effect, and this subject is one where the two get swapped freely in both directions.
Agreed on the substance. I would put less weight on the timescale, because two months of anything is not enough to distinguish a trend from a wobble.
JenPlateau said:Right, and the exception is worth naming rather than left implied, because the exception is where people get into trouble.
Thank you — that is the clearest version of this I have read, and I have read a lot of them. Sending this to two other people who asked me the same thing last week.
TrialNerd_Beth said:There is a difference between no evidence and evidence of no effect, and this subject is one where the two get swapped freely in both directions.
Worth saying that the confident version of this is more useful to the person writing it than to the person reading it.
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View ResultsThe figures, for anyone assembling their own picture. The boring version of this is the one that works, and the boring version is: measure a baseline, change one variable, wait, measure again under the same conditions. Nobody wants that answer and it is still the answer.