mike_nyc said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
I read this differently from mike_nyc, on substance rather than tone. I think the framing smuggles in the conclusion. Ask it the other way round and the obvious answer reverses, which usually means the question is doing the work.
mike_nyc said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
Agreed, with the usual condition: that holds for the average and this board is a collection of individuals. A population claim and a personal prediction are different things and get quoted interchangeably.
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View Resultsmike_nyc said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
Bookmarking. The distinction being drawn above is the one nobody else makes. Sending this to two other people who asked me the same thing last week.
From the other side of the consultation, briefly. The distinction that resolves most of these threads is between what is true on average and what is true for one person. Both are real; they answer different questions and get quoted as if they were the same one.