oliver_london said:No disagreement, though it depends on where somebody is starting from, and this thread has been assuming a starting point nobody stated.
Same experience, arrived at from the opposite direction.
oliver_london said:No disagreement, though it depends on where somebody is starting from, and this thread has been assuming a starting point nobody stated.
There is a second half to this that has not been said yet. Start from the measurement rather than the conclusion. Almost every disagreement here turns out to be two people measuring different things and comparing the numbers anyway.
Adding the numbers, since they settle part of this. Give anything pharmacological four weeks before you judge it, and give anything measured weekly a four-point rolling average before you call it a trend.
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Shop Reference StandardsOne thing that is still open after oliver_london’s answer:
How would you tell the difference between that and the alternative explanation?
VendorMark said:Give anything pharmacological four weeks before you judge it, and give anything measured weekly a four-point rolling average before you call it a…
Pushing back on VendorMark here. I think the framing smuggles in the conclusion. Ask it the other way round and the obvious answer reverses, which usually means the question is doing the work.