Dr.RaviCardio said:The mechanism and the magnitude are separate questions.
That holds where the measurement is reliable. Where it is noisy — and a lot of what gets tracked here is noisy — the same reasoning produces confident nonsense.
BenResearch_OR said:Right, and one flattering data point from a group buy is not consistency.
Saving this. It is the first explanation that did not require me to already understand it.
Dr.RaviCardio said:The mechanism and the magnitude are separate questions.
Pushing back on Dr.RaviCardio here. The objection nobody has made: this only works if the measurement is doing what we assume it is doing, and that assumption has not been tested here.
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Shop Reference StandardsThe figures, for anyone assembling their own picture. One practical note: write down what you did and when, before you need it. Reconstructing a timeline from memory three months later is how people end up unable to answer the one question that would have resolved it.